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A Mathematical Model for Transmission Dynamics of an Avian Influenza Disease in a Human Population

1Graduate Student, Department of Mathematics, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, PMB 2373, Benue State, Nigeria2Department of Mathematics, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Kasio, Makurdi, PMB 2373, Benue State, Nigeria3Department of Mathematics, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, North Bank, Makurdi, PMB 2373, Benue State, Nigeria4Department of Mathematics, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, North Bank, Makurdi, PMB 2373, Benue State, Nigeria
* Corresponding Author: Kenneth Ojotogba Achema. Email:

Annals of Communications in Mathematics 2024, 7 (4), 328-353. https://doi.org/10.62072/acm.2024.070402
Received: 21 Sept 2024 |
Accepted: 25 Nov 2024 |
Published: 31 Dec 2024

Abstract

Avian influenza is known as one of the respiratory diseases that causes high morbidity and mortality rate predominately among the immunodeficiency persons world- wide. Treatment and vaccination remain the optimal strategies in curbing the spread of avian infuenza infection.In this work, a mathematical model of the dynamics of influenza infection is formulated and was computed analytically and numerically. The analytic com- putation of the model is given in terms of the basic reproduction number, equilibria points and their stabilities. Thus, the disease dies out whenever the basic reproduction number is less than one. The disease free equilibrium (DFE) is locally asymptotically stable pro- vided R0 < 1 and unstable if otherwise. The endemic equilibrium only occurs whenever the disease threshold is greater than a unit. The endemic equilibrium, is locally, globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions. Numerical solution shows that vaccination and treatment of the susceptible and the infected individuals respectively have high impact for eradicating the disease. The non-linear incidence as a force of infection with param- eter, θ,Ψ1, u1 and u2 have great impact for reducing the pandemic of influenza disease. In conclusion, vaccination of susceptible individuals, isolation of exposed individuals and treatment of infected individuals are imperative for curbing the spread of an avian influenza infection. Modelling style or structure especially, the type of force of infection adopted for modelling an avian influenza disease depends on whether the disease, can easily be put under control.

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Cite This Article

Umoru Oseni, Tertsegha Tivde, Kenneth Ojotogba Achema, Reuben Iortyer Gweryina.
A Mathematical Model for Transmission Dynamics of an Avian Influenza Disease in a Human Population.
Annals of Communications in Mathematics
2024,
7 (4):
328-353.
https://doi.org/10.62072/acm.2024.070402

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Copyright © 2024 by the Author(s). Licensee Techno Sky Publications. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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